} You can then presume that he is faster than . With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. That's the case for this year's Wood Memorial, where pacesetter Early Voting got a slightly higher TimeformUS Speed Figure than Mo Donegal. 0:04. Owned by WinStar . Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. The Beyer Speed Figures business is a partnership of Beyer and Mark Hopkins. We knew Olympiad was fast he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a mile in :12.53, according to Equibase, was especially impressive. He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. TimeformUS also values the strength of Tim Yakteen's duo. So it's possible for a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse who finished ahead. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. His Beyers have progressed from 70 to 88 to 98. Overall, the 2022 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field. . Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. 1 . 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. He said Monday that he had not picked out a next start for the colt and was not in any hurry to do so. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. Epicenter has just recently won the Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 points. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. In Picking Winners, Beyer claimed a breakthrough when a study of claiming races at Calder Race Course showed Beyer that 1:13 for six furlongs was equally fast to 1:26.1 at seven; from there, Kovitz's math was used to generate perfectly accurate parallel-time and beaten-lengths charts, which Beyer then used to make par times for classes, against which each race is measured to determine if the track is faster or slower than normal. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. Call 7032375030 for more information. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? Speightstown took some time as a racehorse to come around, winning champion sprinter honors as a 6-year-old, and many of his best runners have improved significantly with age: Tamarkuz won the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile at 6; Haynesfield won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at 4; and Flagstaff became a Grade 1 winner at age 7. The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. Play today with NYRA Bets! The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. Simplification seems like the most likely horse to show up for the exotics. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. 83. . I'm going to take it one step at a time. Six of the last eight horses to cross the finish line first in the Kentucky Derby have come from California. In horse racing, power ratings are generally called class ratings. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. So a high BSF ceiling is notable, but also consistency is a plus too to battle possible negative regression. In fact, his 103 Beyer Speed Figure is the highest by a 3-year-old this year, according to the Daily Racing Form. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." . .tableizer-table td { Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. font-weight: bold; Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. A 90 at Saratoga is the same quality of performance as a 90 at the Ferndale Fair.Moreover, a figure of 90 in a six-furlong race is the same quality of performance as a 90 at 1 miles. Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. Here are the 19 highest Beyer figures for Saturday's races, with figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where available. table.tableizer-table { For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. Top Beyer Speed Figures. According to the speed figures, Arkansas is the circuit to avoid in this year's Kentucky Derby. Periods of rain. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Suite 100 Play today with NYRA Bets! (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. First published in book form in 1975, the Daily Racing Form began incorporating Beyer Speed Figures in a horse's past performances in 1992 and the system now assigns a Beyer number for each horse race. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. Going into last year's Kentucky Derby, the highest Beyer Speed Figure earned during the prep season was a 100 posted by Rock Your World when winning the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Triple Crown Winners, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories, General Jim Can Post the Upset in Fountain of Youth Stakes, 2023 Fountain of Youth Stakes Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses. For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. Stat to remember: Since the Beyer Speed Figures were introduced in . . Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Happy Jack. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. No one else has topped 96. } He has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and will likely be double the price. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #FFF; His performance was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 126, which according to the Daily Racing Form, which publishes the figures, is the second-highest number since eponymous BSF creator Andrew Beyer . Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. In 1992, Beyer began making turf figures, which were made more accurate by his adjustment of the beaten-lengths chart, in which he uses the six-and-a-half furlong beaten-lengths chart for all races at that distance or longer, to reflect the nature of turf racing, where horses jockey for position most of the way, and then sprint home with almost all of their energy in reserve, making the competitive part of the race more akin to a sprint than to the race's actual distance. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. He earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 121. . Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. This could have inflated the Beyer Speed Figure earned by a horse in a race. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline ( Tapit) is really, really, fast . Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! Not a subscriber? )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, Tacitus 2019 Kentucky Derby Contender Profile, 2022 Belmont Stakes Odds: We The People Overtakes Mo Donegal On The Oddsboard, 2022 Breeders Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. Its true that Speightsown has sired plenty of quality 2-year-olds and talented sprinters, but hes actually far more versatile than that. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. Several runners had higher TimeformUS figures for Saturday's races, including Cavalry Charge with a 122 in winning the Fair Grounds Stakes (G3). Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. With the way things are looking, it seems like Epicenter has an excellent chance of winning the Kentucky Derby this year. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? After breaking a step slowly, the 3-year-old took control early on, started to draw clear on the turn and then galloped away from his rivals without ever being asked by jockey Flavien Prat. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! By comparison, American Pharoah earned Beyers of 105 for his wins in the Arkansas Derby and the Kentucky Derby. His Beyer Speed Figure of 92 is only 4 points off the second best number. Overall, the number reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run. Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. 2022 Preakness: Beyer Speed Figures For Every Horse. Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . Speightstown has enjoyed success as a sire on dirt and turf and with sprinters as well as longer-distance runners. [9][10][11] Easy Goer ran a 122 in winning the 1989 Belmont Stakes, the best Beyer Speed Figure in any Triple Crown race since these ratings were first published in 1987. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. border: 1px solid #CCC; BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. Taiba (+800) and Messier (+800) lead the group having posted 103s previously in Kentucky Derby Prep races. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. May 5, 2022 at 5:00 a.m. EDT. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. As of 02.26.23. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. Brisnet does not mark Epicenter as a standout. This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. From this work, using the same principle, Kovitz derived the beaten-lengths chart which Beyer published in Picking Winners. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. His strong and consistent 3-year-old form, combined with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical. . Commentator, who once ran a 123 in his career, scored a 120 as a 7-year-old, possibly a record for a horse that old. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. 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