Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. TrendRadars. Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. On the presidential level, Wisconsin has voted for the Democratic nominee in every election from 1988 to 2020 except for 2016, when Trump narrowly defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. Marquette Law School defines "likely voters" as those "who say they are certain to vote or who say they have already voted. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). That poll . In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. FOX NEWS POLL: POLARIZATION DEFINES THE MIDTERM ELECTION. Tony Evers, 46 percent back Republican challenger Tim Michels, and 4 percent support independent Joan Belinger. Well over half (57 percent) of voters in the state said they disapproved of the job Biden is doing as president, and only 40 percent approved. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Develop Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". Home; News. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support versus Barnes' 45% support. 33. Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. 2022 Wisconsin Senate Debate: Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. "There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Both the Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly partisan. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Keep updated on the latest news and information. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. Morry Gash/Associated Press It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. Legal Statement. 2016: Johnson (R) +3.4|2010: Johnson (R) +4.9, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Average:Johnson +3.6RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|Senate|WI-3, 2020:President|WI-32018:Governor|Senate|WI-1|WI-32016:President|Senate|WI-82014:Governor|WI-6|WI-72012:President|Governor (Recall)|Senate|WI-7|WI-82010:Governor|Senate|WI-3|WI-7|WI-8, All Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Polling Data. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, The shepherd boy, the wolf and the threat to Israeli democracy. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. The. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. A Fox News survey of. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. He is someone who cares about people like me." An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. AP Photo/Mike Roemer, "We've looked very closely at the numbers," said Johnson. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. He said the best way to do that would be by allowing Wisconsinites to settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Among likely voters, in his race for reelection, Sen. Ron Johnson, a Republican, is supported by 49%, while his Democratic opponent, Lt. Gov. In the race for U.S. Senate, Democrat Mandela Barnes is supported by 51% and incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is the choice of 44%, while 1% say "neither," 3% say they don't know and 1% decline to answer. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. Timothy Nerozzi is a writer for Fox News Digital. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. In the Senate, Johnson serves on the Foreign Relations Committee, the Budget Committee, the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Commerce Committee. Sign up now! The incumbents leads were reversed, however, when the CNN poll results were expanded to include all registered voters in the state. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. She won reelection with over 55 percent of the vote in 2018. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. Lt. Gov. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security, Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. . With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. Meanwhile, 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, while 3 percent said they would vote for someone else, would not vote or refused to answer. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. That's still slightly higher than the 36 percent who view Johnson favorably. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. "Now, that's what Democrats have been doing to Ron Johnson for nearly two years," said Lee. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Feingold ran for his old seat in a 2016 rematch. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. All rights reserved. The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. A CBS News poll in October found that Johnson's views on the 2020 election may be alienating some independents and Republicans who believe Johnson wanted the election overturned. The lieutenant governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the U.S. Senate race. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. Current guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission is that an address must include three elements: a street number, street name and municipality. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. 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